09. June 2023 | In recent years, alarming reports have accumulated about the slow sinking of coral islands. They are in danger of slowly sinking in the face of rising sea levels. In a new study, researchers from the Leibniz Centre for Tropical Marine Research (ZMT) found that sea level may not be the only factor playing a role in the fate of threatened islands.

Sea levels could rise by one to two meters by the end of this century

In recent years, alarming reports have accumulated about the slow sinking of coral islands, especially in the Pacific. Tropical coral islands are formed when sediments consisting of calcareous skeletons and shells of corals, clams, snails or calcareous algae are deposited on the roof and in the lagoon of a reef, forming a sandbar. Such islands usually rise only a few meters above sea level. However, due to ocean warming and the melting of the polar ice caps, sea levels could rise by one to two meters by the end of this century. But other environmental factors can also have an impact on coral island development.

The team studied the past 10,000 years of geological evolution of a coral island

To study the dynamics of reef islands over a longer period of time and to better understand changes in their shape, a group of ZMT researchers together with Indonesian colleagues studied the past 10,000 years of geological evolution of a coral island in the Indonesian Spermonde Archipelago: Barrang Lompo.

For this purpose, several ten-meter sediment cores were taken from the island floor. In samples from the cores, the team examined the age, grain size and composition of the sediments from the shells and skeletal fragments of various calcifying organisms.

“This allowed us to infer which parts of the reef the organisms came from and how they were transported,” explains Yannis Kappelmann, a geoscientist at ZMT and lead author of the study.

The results were then compared with data on sea level trends and climatic conditions over the past 10,000 years.

The island formed in a former lagoon surrounded by coral reefs

The team found out that the island formed in a former lagoon surrounded by coral reefs. In a slow process that began 7,000 years ago, waves washed calcareous sediments from the reefs into the lagoon, filling it up until Barrang Lompo Island was formed 3,000 years ago. However, the filling was delayed when the sea level rose by 50 cm above today’s level about 5,800 years ago, as less sediment entered the lagoon.

About 500 years later, the sea level dropped back to its present level. Contrary to the researchers’ expectations, however, the lagoon filled with sediment only unusually slowly thereafter. They attribute this discovery to climatic conditions. The Spermonde Archipelago is a monsoon area, but the strength of the monsoon winds has not always been constant over the last 10,000 years. It was only when the monsoon winds became stronger that the waves again transported sediment into the lagoon.

“Sea level is often used as the only factor to explain the development of coral islands. In the case of Barrang Lompo, however, sea level fluctuations are not sufficient,” says Kappelmann. “If we want to make adequate statements regarding future island developments, we have to include climatic parameters such as wind and other environmental conditions.”

So, for example, if monsoon conditions change as a result of climate change, coral islands are likely to change as well.

Indonesia’s Spermonde Archipelago is home to 50,000 people, with 4,600 on Barrang Lompo alone, and studies like this one can help improve future projections for coral islands in the face of global warming and rising sea levels.

Maybe this study is also suitable for the Earthshot Prize Award which is awarded every year.

Prince William established The Earthshot Prize to uncover and scale the innovative solutions that will repair our planet within the next ten years.